Introduction
The upcoming clash between CELTIC and STURM GRAZ promises to be an intriguing encounter, pitting two teams with contrasting recent forms against each other. This fixture holds significance for both sides as they look to assert dominance and secure crucial points.
CELTIC, playing on home turf, will be eager to leverage their passionate support and find consistency in their performances. Meanwhile, STURM GRAZ arrives with a formidable record, aiming to continue their impressive run and challenge the hosts.
Our expert analysis delves deep into team form, head-to-head records, and key statistics to provide a comprehensive CELTIC vs STURM GRAZ prediction, offering valuable insights for football enthusiasts and bettors alike.
Head-to-Head Analysis
While historical encounters offer a glimpse into past dynamics, the head-to-head record between CELTIC and STURM GRAZ is limited, making this fixture a relatively fresh rivalry. They have met only once in competitive action.
In that solitary encounter, CELTIC emerged victorious with a narrow 0-1 away win. This gives them a 100% win rate against their Austrian opponents, establishing an early, albeit slim, dominance in this nascent rivalry. However, with only one match to draw from, its predictive power for the upcoming game is naturally limited.
- Total H2H Matches: 1
- CELTIC Wins: 1 (100.0% Win Rate)
- STURM GRAZ Wins: 0 (0.0% Win Rate)
- Draws: 0
- Recent Result: CELTIC won (0-1)
CELTIC's single H2H victory saw them score 1 goal and concede 0, maintaining a clean sheet. STURM GRAZ, conversely, conceded 1 goal and scored 0 in that fixture. While these statistics highlight CELTIC's past success, the current form of both teams will likely play a more significant role in determining the outcome of this match.
Home Team Form Analysis
Recent Performance
CELTIC's recent form has been a mixed bag, showing moments of brilliance interspersed with periods of inconsistency. Across their last 10 matches, they have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, indicating a struggle to maintain a consistent winning streak.
The Scottish giants have scored 13 goals in these 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals per game. Defensively, they have conceded 9 goals, with an average of 0.9 goals per game. This suggests a relatively solid defence, but their scoring output could be more prolific. Their recent form of L W L D D highlights their fluctuating performances.
Last 5 Matches Breakdown
CELTIC Last 5 Matches
| date | home team | Away_team | home_score | Away_score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.25 | Dundee FC | Celtic | 2 | 0 | L |
| 05.10.25 | Celtic | Motherwell | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02.10.25 | Celtic | Braga | 0 | 2 | L |
| 27.09.25 | Celtic | Hibernian | 0 | 0 | D |
| 24.09.25 | Crvena zvezda | Celtic | 1 | 1 | D |
W = Win
D = Draw
L = Loss
Looking at their last five matches, CELTIC has secured only one win against Motherwell (3-2) at home. They suffered losses to Dundee FC (2-0) and Braga (0-2), while drawing against Hibernian (0-0) and Crvena zvezda (1-1). This run of results paints a picture of a team struggling for rhythm, particularly in front of goal in some key fixtures.
Away Team Form Analysis
Recent Performance
In stark contrast to their opponents, STURM GRAZ arrives in phenomenal form. Their record over the last 10 matches stands at an impressive 8 wins, 0 draws, and only 2 losses. This consistent performance underscores their strength and determination.
STURM GRAZ has been prolific in attack, scoring 18 goals in their last 10 outings, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Their defence has also been robust, conceding only 8 goals, an average of 0.8 per game. Their recent form, W W W W L, clearly indicates a team brimming with confidence and momentum, with a strong emphasis on winning.
Last 5 Matches Breakdown
STURM GRAZ Last 5 Matches
| date | home team | Away_team | home_score | Away_score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.25 | BW Linz | Sturm Graz | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05.10.25 | Altach | Sturm Graz | 0 | 2 | W |
| 02.10.25 | Sturm Graz | Rangers | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28.09.25 | Sturm Graz | Hartberg | 1 | 0 | W |
| 24.09.25 | Midtjylland | Sturm Graz | 2 | 0 | L |
W = Win
D = Draw
L = Loss
STURM GRAZ's last five matches showcase their winning mentality. They have secured four consecutive victories, including a thrilling 3-4 away win against BW Linz and a solid 0-2 away win against Altach. Their only loss in this period was a 2-0 defeat to Midtjylland. This run of form, especially their strong away record with 5 wins in 10, positions them as a formidable opponent.
Form Comparison & Key Statistics
When comparing the recent forms of CELTIC and STURM GRAZ, a clear disparity emerges. STURM GRAZ holds a significant advantage in terms of overall performance and consistency. Their 8 wins from 10 matches far outweigh CELTIC's 4 wins, suggesting a higher level of confidence and tactical effectiveness.
- Overall Record: STURM GRAZ (8W-0D-2L) vs. CELTIC (4W-3D-3L)
- Goals Scored (Avg per game): STURM GRAZ (1.8) vs. CELTIC (1.3)
- Goals Conceded (Avg per game): STURM GRAZ (0.8) vs. CELTIC (0.9)
STURM GRAZ's offensive efficiency is evident with a higher goal-scoring average, while their defensive solidity is also marginally better than CELTIC's. The Austrian side has demonstrated a greater ability to both find the net and keep opponents at bay.
Celtic's home advantage is a factor, but their recent home form includes a loss to Braga and a draw against Hibernian. Meanwhile, Sturm Graz boasts an excellent away record, winning 5 of their last 10 away fixtures. This suggests they are not easily intimidated on the road, making the trip to Celtic Park less daunting for them.
Betting Trends & Insights
Analyzing the teams' recent performances provides crucial insights for betting markets. Here's a look at some key trends:
Key Betting Statistics
| Statistic | CELTIC (Last 10) | STURM GRAZ (Last 10) | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | 50% (5/10) | 50% (5/10) | Even chance for both teams to find the net. |
| Clean Sheets Kept | 30% (3/10) | 50% (5/10) | Sturm Graz is more likely to keep a clean sheet. |
| Matches Over 1.5 Goals | 70% (7/10) | 80% (8/10) | High probability for at least two goals in the match. |
| Matches Over 2.5 Goals | 40% (4/10) | 60% (6/10) | Sturm Graz matches tend to have more goals. |
| Matches Under 3.5 Goals | 80% (8/10) | 60% (6/10) | Celtic games often stay under 3.5 goals. |
Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate over their last 10 games, suggesting a reasonable chance for both to score. However, Sturm Graz has a better clean sheet record, indicating their defensive strength. The “Over 1.5 goals” market looks promising, with both teams frequently involved in games with two or more goals. “Under 3.5 goals” also presents a strong trend for CELTIC, and a decent one for STURM GRAZ, especially considering CELTIC's lower scoring average.
Match Prediction
Considering all the statistical data and form analysis, our CELTIC vs STURM GRAZ prediction leans towards the visiting side at least avoiding defeat, primarily due to their superior recent form and consistent performances.
CELTIC's inconsistency, particularly their struggles to convert chances and secure wins in recent home games, makes them vulnerable. While they have the home advantage, STURM GRAZ's impressive away record and high-scoring attack are significant factors.
- Prediction 1: Double Chance – STURM GRAZ Win or Draw (X2)
Reasoning: STURM GRAZ's strong overall record (8W-0D-2L) and excellent away form (5 wins in 10) make them a formidable opponent. CELTIC's recent inconsistency (L W L D D) at home suggests they might struggle to secure a straightforward victory. We have high confidence in this outcome. - Prediction 2: Over 1.5 Goals
Reasoning: Both teams have shown a propensity for scoring, with STURM GRAZ averaging 1.8 goals per game and CELTIC 1.3. A high percentage of their recent matches have featured over 1.5 goals (70% for Celtic, 80% for Sturm Graz). This seems a highly probable outcome with high confidence. - Prediction 3: Under 3.5 Goals
Reasoning: Despite STURM GRAZ's attacking prowess, 80% of CELTIC's last 10 games and 60% of STURM GRAZ's have finished with under 3.5 goals. While goals are expected, a high-scoring thriller with 4+ goals is less likely given CELTIC's more conservative scoring. We have high confidence in this outcome.
While CELTIC will fight hard, the momentum and consistency are firmly with STURM GRAZ. The visitors are well-equipped to get a positive result, whether it be a narrow win or a hard-fought draw. Betting on STURM GRAZ to win or draw offers solid value.
Conclusion
The match between CELTIC and STURM GRAZ presents a classic battle of home advantage versus red-hot away form. While CELTIC will be looking to reignite their season, STURM GRAZ arrives with superior statistics and undeniable momentum. Their strong offensive output and solid defence suggest they are capable of securing a positive result at Celtic Park.
Our comprehensive analysis points towards STURM GRAZ being the stronger side coming into this fixture. Expect a competitive game, but the visitors' current run of form makes them a formidable force. The most likely outcomes involve STURM GRAZ avoiding defeat, with a reasonable expectation of at least two goals but likely staying under four total goals.
