Introduction
The Stadio Olimpico is set to host an intriguing encounter as AS ROMA squares off against PLZEN in what promises to be a captivating fixture. This match holds significant importance for both sides, with AS ROMA looking to consolidate their position and PLZEN aiming to cause an upset on the road. As football statistics analysts, we'll delve deep into the data, examining recent form, head-to-head records, and crucial statistics to provide a comprehensive AS ROMA vs PLZEN prediction.
This anticipated clash is more than just three points; it's about momentum, tactical supremacy, and asserting dominance. Fans and bettors alike will be keenly observing AS ROMA's home performance against PLZEN's impressive away resilience. Join us as we break down every angle to bring you the most informed insights for this game.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Historical encounters often provide a crucial lens through which to view upcoming matches. The rivalry between AS ROMA and PLZEN has seen five competitive meetings to date, offering valuable insights into their dynamics.
AS ROMA has historically held the upper hand in this fixture, securing two victories compared to PLZEN's solitary win, with two matches ending in a draw. This gives AS ROMA a 40.0% win rate in head-to-head clashes, significantly higher than PLZEN's 20.0%. The Giallorossi have also shown a clear offensive edge, netting 13 goals against PLZEN's 4 across these encounters, highlighting their historical dominance in front of goal.
Interestingly, AS ROMA's longest win streak against PLZEN stands at two matches, and they have enjoyed a longest unbeaten streak of four games. However, the most recent result saw PLZEN claim a 2-1 victory, suggesting a shift in momentum or an improvement in the Czech side's capabilities. When AS ROMA has hosted PLZEN, their average home goals in these specific H2H fixtures has been an impressive 4.5, while PLZEN's average away goals against AS ROMA stands at 1.33. This indicates that their previous encounters, particularly in Rome, have often been high-scoring affairs.
Home Team Form Analysis
Recent Performance
AS ROMA enters this fixture with a mixed bag of results from their last ten matches, holding a record of 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. While this indicates a generally strong team, their recent form shows some inconsistency. They have scored 11 goals in these ten games, averaging 1.1 goals per match, which is a moderate offensive output. Defensively, however, they have been more solid, conceding only 7 goals at an average of 0.7 per game, showcasing a robust backline.
A closer look at their recent five matches reveals a “L W L W W” pattern, indicating a slight upturn in form towards the most recent games, despite a recent loss to Inter. Their home performance has been somewhat volatile, with two home wins recorded within their broader recent history.
Last 5 Matches Breakdown
AS ROMA Last 5 Matches
| date | home team | Away_team | home_score | Away_score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.25 | AS Roma | Inter | 0 | 1 | L |
| 05.10.25 | Fiorentina | AS Roma | 1 | 2 | W |
| 02.10.25 | AS Roma | Lille | 0 | 1 | L |
| 28.09.25 | AS Roma | Verona | 2 | 0 | W |
| 24.09.25 | Nice | AS Roma | 1 | 2 | W |
W = Win
D = Draw
L = Loss
Looking at AS ROMA's last five fixtures, they have secured three wins and suffered two losses. Notably, both losses came at home against strong opponents: Inter (0-1) and Lille (0-1). Their home victory against Verona (2-0) demonstrated their capability to dominate lesser teams. Away from home, they have been more clinical, with impressive 2-1 wins against Fiorentina and Nice. This suggests that while AS ROMA can perform well on the road, they have faced challenges at home against high-caliber opposition, something they will need to address in this AS ROMA vs PLZEN prediction.
Away Team Form Analysis
Recent Performance
PLZEN arrives in Rome boasting a solid recent record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last ten outings. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored 19 goals (an average of 1.9 per match), significantly higher than AS ROMA's average. Defensively, they have conceded 10 goals, averaging 1.0 per game, which is slightly higher than AS ROMA but still respectable.
PLZEN's recent form follows a “W D W L D” pattern, indicating good consistency and resilience, with only one loss in their last five matches. They have also proven capable on the road, registering two away wins within their last ten matches, demonstrating they are not easily intimidated away from their home ground.
Last 5 Matches Breakdown
PLZEN Last 5 Matches
| date | home team | Away_team | home_score | Away_score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.25 | Bohemians | Plzen | 0 | 1 | W |
| 05.10.25 | Plzen | Hradec Kralove | 3 | 3 | D |
| 02.10.25 | Plzen | Malmo FF | 3 | 0 | W |
| 28.09.25 | Plzen | Zlin | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25.09.25 | Ferencvaros | Plzen | 1 | 1 | D |
W = Win
D = Draw
L = Loss
PLZEN's last five matches demonstrate their ability to pick up points both at home and away. They secured a crucial away win against Bohemians (1-0) and a respectable away draw against Ferencvaros (1-1). At home, they registered a dominant 3-0 victory over Malmo FF but also experienced a draw with Hradec Kralove (3-3) and a surprising loss to Zlin (0-1). This pattern suggests that while they are potent in attack, their defense can sometimes be breached, especially at home. Their away form, however, looks robust, which bodes well for this AS ROMA vs PLZEN prediction.
Form Comparison & Key Statistics
When comparing the two teams, distinct patterns emerge that will shape our AS ROMA vs PLZEN prediction. AS ROMA (6W-1D-3L) has a slightly better win percentage over their last ten games than PLZEN (5W-3D-2L), but PLZEN has suffered fewer outright losses and recorded more draws, indicating greater consistency.
- Goals Scored: PLZEN boasts a significantly higher average of 1.9 goals per match compared to AS ROMA's 1.1. This suggests PLZEN carries a more potent attacking threat.
- Goals Conceded: AS ROMA's defense is tighter, conceding an average of 0.7 goals per match against PLZEN's 1.0. This defensive solidity could be a key factor at home.
- Offensive Efficiency: PLZEN's ability to find the back of the net consistently makes them a dangerous opponent, even away from home.
- Defensive Strength: AS ROMA's strong defensive record, particularly at home, will be crucial in containing PLZEN's attack.
AS ROMA's recent home form (L, L, W in their last three home games from the table) has been less convincing than their overall record might suggest, especially against stronger teams. Conversely, PLZEN has shown commendable resilience and goal-scoring capability on their travels, with two away wins in their last ten matches and an away win and a draw in their last two away games. The historical head-to-head also points to high-scoring affairs when AS ROMA hosts PLZEN, with an average of 4.5 goals for Roma and 1.33 for Plzen in those specific encounters.
Betting Trends & Insights
Understanding the betting trends provides additional layers to our AS ROMA vs PLZEN prediction. Based on the teams' recent forms and head-to-head statistics, several patterns emerge:
| Betting Market | AS ROMA (Last 10) | PLZEN (Last 10) | H2H Trend (Last 5) | Overall Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | 7/10 matches scored, 4/10 conceded | 8/10 matches scored, 6/10 conceded | Recent 2-1 (Yes) | High probability for BTTS “Yes” |
| Clean Sheet Probability | 6/10 matches | 4/10 matches | Roma 2/5, Plzen 0/5 | AS ROMA more likely to keep a clean sheet, but Plzen's scoring suggests otherwise |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 3/5 recent matches | 4/5 recent matches | 4/5 matches | Extremely likely |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2/5 recent matches | 3/5 recent matches | 3/5 matches | Good probability, especially with H2H scoring |
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): PLZEN has scored in 80% of their last ten games, while AS ROMA has scored in 70%. Considering PLZEN also conceded in 60% of their games and AS ROMA in 40%, coupled with the recent 2-1 H2H result, a “BTTS Yes” outcome appears highly probable for this AS ROMA vs PLZEN prediction.
- Over/Under Goals: PLZEN's average total goals per game (goals scored + conceded) in their last 10 is 2.9, while AS ROMA's is 1.8. The H2H scoring patterns (AS ROMA Avg Home Goals: 4.5, PLZEN Avg Away Goals: 1.33) are particularly telling, suggesting a high-scoring affair when Roma plays at home against Plzen. “Over 1.5 goals” is almost a certainty, and “Over 2.5 goals” also carries significant weight, especially if the H2H trend continues.
- Clean Sheets: While AS ROMA has a better overall clean sheet record (60% vs 40%), PLZEN's attacking form suggests they are likely to breach Roma's defense.
Match Prediction
Factoring in all the data, our AS ROMA vs PLZEN prediction points towards a competitive match, but with AS ROMA ultimately leveraging their home advantage and superior squad quality. While AS ROMA's recent home form has shown some vulnerability against top-tier opposition, PLZEN, despite their strong attacking numbers, may not possess the defensive solidity to withstand a determined Giallorossi side for the full 90 minutes. However, PLZEN's impressive goal-scoring record and resilience on the road mean they are unlikely to go down without a fight.
The historical H2H data, particularly the high average goals scored when AS ROMA plays at home against PLZEN, cannot be ignored. This suggests that while AS ROMA is expected to win, it might not be a clean sheet victory, especially given PLZEN's current offensive form.
- Predicted Outcome: AS ROMA to win
- Over 1.5 Goals: High confidence. Both teams have shown a propensity to score and concede, making multiple goals very likely.
- Over 2.5 Goals: Medium-High confidence. PLZEN's average of 1.9 goals scored per game, combined with the high-scoring H2H history, strongly supports this.
- Under 3.5 Goals: While the H2H suggests high scoring, AS ROMA's overall defensive strength (0.7 goals conceded per game) could limit PLZEN's output. This is a tighter call than Over 2.5.
- Double Chance: AS ROMA or Draw (1X) offers extremely high confidence, but with lower odds, making it suitable for accumulator bets.
Suggested Betting Value Opportunities: For those seeking higher value, a bet on “AS ROMA to Win and Over 2.5 Goals” or “Both Teams to Score” provides an attractive option given the analytical breakdown. PLZEN's attacking threat combined with AS ROMA's quality suggests a lively encounter where both teams could find the net.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the AS ROMA vs PLZEN prediction points to a fascinating contest at the Stadio Olimpico. AS ROMA, with their historical H2H dominance and overall defensive strength, are the favorites to secure a victory. However, PLZEN's commendable recent form, particularly their attacking prowess and resilience away from home, means they cannot be underestimated. The match is expected to feature goals, with “Over 1.5 Goals” being a highly probable outcome and “Both Teams to Score” also looking very promising.
Ultimately, while PLZEN will undoubtedly pose a threat, AS ROMA's quality and the backing of their home crowd should see them through. Expect a hard-fought battle where AS ROMA emerges victorious, likely contributing to a higher goal tally than their season average, in line with their historical encounters against PLZEN.
